Putting Boots on Ground in Syria Could Be 'Quicksand' for S. Arabia
According to Defense News, Syria would become
“quicksand” for Saudi Arabia, if Riyadh puts boots on the ground in the
war-torn country. The Saudis, currently involved in a military conflict
in Yemen, will quickly face a lack of resources in conducting two
large-scale operations.
“Saudi Arabia should be careful not to overstretch
its military and diplomatic efforts, as Syria could be "quicksand"
for them,” Paul Sullivan, National Defense University professor said,
quoted by Defense News.
Some experts believe that Saudi Special Forces are
well prepared and could be deployed in Turkey for a brief time period,
in preparation for a further operation Syria.
"Their ability is to move in quickly and establish
local partnerships. It’s modeled after the American approach. They are
elite units. They are fast and mobile and with a full-spectrum
capability to move and operate on short notice,” Oubai Shabandar, a
former Pentagon official, stated.
Analysts note that the lack of combat experience for much of the Saudi military could hamper Riyadh’s plans.
“With only partial, previous combat experience, it
is unlikely there will be enough [Saudi] troops ready and capable
of contributing to both theaters [in Syria and Yemen],” Matthew Hedges,
an expert in Middle Eastern military security, said.
The situation in Syria is markedly different
from that in Yemen. Geopolitical factors, including the involvement
of Russia and Iran, complicate matters for the Saudis, Defense News
noted.
Shabandar underscored that Riyadh could not carry out two operations simultaneously without the military support of its allies.
"A full-fledged Turkish-Arab conventional force
incursion into northern Syria requires either a NATO air umbrella or
international coalition support," he asserted.
Jordan and Kuwait, two allies of Riyadh from the
Persian Gulf Cooperation Council, announced they would not take part
in military operations in Syria, whether led by Saudis or Turks. Jordan
stated that it would send troops to Syria, if the operation was approved
by the UN and coordinated with Russia. Kuwait stressed that its
constitution prohibits its country’s military from taking part in any
fighting except that of a defensive nature.
A major question remains regarding the ongoing
civil war in Syria, that of whether further intervention will help or
hamper Daesh (ISIL). Other unknowns include delineating an exit strategy
and a creating a roadmap to rebuild the country after the war ends,
Defense News said.
0 comments:
Post a Comment